2021 Xfinity 500 odds, pick: projected NASCAR ranking at Martinsville, top model predictions
The NASCAR qualifiers continue on Sunday with the 2021 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway. The Green Flag drops at 2 p.m. ET and Martin Truex Jr. is the 7-2 favorite in the latest 2021 Xfinity 500 odds from Caesars Sportsbook.
Our proven projection model simulated the race 10,000 times and resulted in a surprising ranking.
Developed by Mike McClure, Predictive Data Engineer for Daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a host of factors, including track history and recent results.
The model started the 2020 season paying big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick’s victory in Atlanta and scored nine top 10s in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his victory in Miami.
At the Brickyard, the model called Harvick the fourth win of the season. Then, in the 2020 NASCAR playoffs, the model nailed her picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win 7-2 at Charlotte Roval.
In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. The model also nailed Kyle Larson by winning the NASCAR All-Star Race at 5-2 in Texas and again hit Larson at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout and then the last two weeks he called Larson’s victory in Texas for a payout of 11-4 and his win in Kansas for a payout of 9-4. Anyone who followed his lead on these pieces has seen HUGE returns.
Now the model has logged into the 2021 Xfinity 500 and released its projections.
We can tell you the model is high on Kurt Busch, even though he’s a 50-1 long shot in the last NASCAR at Martinsville odds 2021. He’s a target for anyone looking for a HUGE paycheck. And a huge shock: One of Vegas’ 6-1 favorites Chase Elliott stumbles big and barely ranks in the top 10! There are much better values in this loaded 2021 Xfinity 500 starting lineup.
The model also aims another driver with NASCAR at Martinsville odds of 25-1 or more to have a serious checkered flag race! Anyone supporting this pilot could hit him BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who he is before you lock in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2021 Xfinity 500? And what long shot is a MUST-BACK? … Join SportsLine now to see the full NASCAR rankings expected in Martinsville, all from the model that won Kyle Larson’s victories over the past two weeks!