2022 NASCAR at Daytona odds, picks, predictions: Model fades Joey Logano at Coke Zero Sugar 400

Daytona International Speedway is the most famous track in NASCAR Cup Series history, and a recent schedule shake-up to turn Daytona’s night race into the last race of the regular season has only added to the excitement. excitement surrounding the 2.5 mile superspeedway. The 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 takes place on Saturday, with the green flag set to drop at 7 p.m. ET. There have been 15 different winners so far this season and another first-time winner on Saturday would be locked into the 16-driver field for the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs.

Ryan Blaney is the defending event champion and has a 25-point cushion over Martin Truex Jr. as the only driver who would currently qualify on points. Blaney would be knocked out by any other first-time winner and won’t want to leave it up to chance as one of the 12-1 co-favorites in Caesars Sportsbook’s Coke Zero Sugar 400 2022 odds. However, there are six other drivers listed at 12-1 in the 2022 NASCAR at Daytona, including last week‘s winner Kyle Larson and current NASCAR leader Chase Elliott. Before you run through the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 starting lineup and make 2022 NASCAR Daytona predictions, be sure to see NASCAR’s latest picks at Daytona from SportsLine’s tried-and-tested projection template.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure’s model nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 victory. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix for winning the 2021 NASCAR Cup championship. In total, he had five of Larson’s wins in a historic season.

So far in 2022, it was important for Ross Chastain to win in Austin, which gave him a much better chance of winning than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before winning as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and again on Logano when he came back 14-1 in their win at St. Louis. Last week he was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick took the win at Michigan. Anyone who followed his lead on these games saw huge returns.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR race at Daytona 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 standings..

Best 2022 NASCAR predictions at Daytona

For the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400, we can tell you the model is high on Martin Truex Jr., even though he is a long shot of 17-1 in the final 2022 NASCAR at Daytona. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. Truex is currently sixth in the NASCAR standings, but he is winless this season and would need to close a 25-point gap with Ryan Blaney to qualify for the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs.

That means Truex is likely to win or go home, and the 2017 NASCAR Cup Series champion will definitely want to maintain his seven-year playoff streak. Daytona hasn’t always been kind to Truex, but he finished fourth in the night race in 2020 and was a runner-up in 2018. He was also a 2016 Daytona 500 runner-up and would love to add a victory at the iconic superspeedway to his resume. vitae in the Hall of Fame. Find out which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a huge shocker: Joey Logano, one of the Vegas favorites at 12-1, stumbles big and fails to crack the top 10. There are far better values ​​in the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 starting lineup. Logano is fourth in the 2022 NASCAR standings on Saturday and his two wins guarantee him a spot in the NASCAR playoffs.

With Logano locked in and teammate Austin Cindric also through with a Daytona 500 win, the focus for Team Penske on Saturday will likely be ensuring Blaney makes the playoffs. To make matters worse, Logano finished 21st at Daytona to start the season and has been outside the top 10 in each of his last six starts there. Check out other favorites to avoid here.

How to make NASCAR Daytona 2022 picks

The model is also targeting three other drivers with NASCAR 2022 at Daytona odds of 15-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400? And what long shots make a race at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR odds at Daytona below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full 2022 NASCAR standings projected at Daytona standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 odds, field

See all NASCAR Daytona picks, best bets and predictions here

Ryan Blaney 12-1
Ross Chestnut 12-1
Bubba Wallace 12-1
Kyle Larson 12-1
Joey Logan 12-1
Chase Elliott 12-1
Denny Hamlin 12-1
William Byron 14-1
Kyle Busch 15-1
Martin Truex Jr. 17-1
Tyler Red Dick 20-1
Brad Keselowski 20-1
Kevin Harvick 20-1
Austin Cindric 22-1
Christopher Bell 22-1
Aric Almirola 25-1
Alex Bowman 25-1
Daniel Suarez 25-1
Chasing Briscoe 25-1
Ricky Stenhouse 30-1
Ty Gibbs 30-1
Austin Dillon 30-1
Chris Buescher 30-1
Erik Jones 35-1
Michael McDowell 40-1
Justin Haley 50-1
Corey Lajoie 75-1
Cole Custer 75-1
Harrison Burton 125-1
Noah Gragson 150-1
Ty Dillon 150-1
Todd Gilliland 150-1
Daniel Hemric 200-1
David Ragan 250-1
Cody Ware 1000-1
Landon Cassill 1000-1
BJ McLeod 1000-1

Comments are closed.