2022 NASCAR playoffs at Bristol odds, prediction: Pattern fades Chase Elliott at Bass Pro Shops night race

Kyle Larson has been dominant at Bristol Motor Speedway for the past few years, and when NASCAR returns to the track Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET for the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race, he’ll have extra motivation to continue his success. Larson enters the weekend eighth in the NASCAR Cup Series playoff standings with one race to go until the playoff field is narrowed to 12. He enters that race at 13-2 in the latest 2022 odds. Bass Pro Shops Night Race listed on Caesars Sportsbook. Larson won last year’s event and has two second-place finishes as well as a sixth-place finish in three of his four races there before 2021.

Other contenders for the 2022 Bass Pro Shops night race near the top of the playoff field who could also lead your NASCAR to Bristol include favorite Denny Hamlin (11-2), Chase Elliott (15-2) and leader playoff points Christopher Bell (8-1). Before you go through the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race Start List and make NASCAR Bristol 2022 predictions, be sure to see NASCAR’s latest picks at Bristol from SportsLine’s tried-and-tested projection template.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure’s model nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. Then he called Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix for winning the 2021 NASCAR Cup championship. In total, he had five of Larson’s wins in a historic season.

So far in 2022, it was important for Ross Chastain to win in Austin, which gave him a much better chance of winning than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before winning as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and again on Logano when he came back 14-1 in their win at St. Louis. In early August, he was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied, and Harvick took the win at Michigan. Anyone who followed his lead on these games saw huge returns.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR race in Bristol 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race standings..

Best NASCAR 2022 predictions in Bristol

For the 2022 Bass Pro Shops night race, the model is high on Joey Logano, despite being a 14-1 longshot in the final 2022 NASCAR at Bristol. Logano has finished outside the top 10 in two of his last three races, making him a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. However, in five of his last seven races he has finished sixth or better.

Earlier this season at Bristol in the Food City Dirt Race, Logano finished third after starting 10th. In its last two races at Bristol, it took consecutive 11th places and finished seventh in the 2020 NASCAR All-Star Race which was also held there. Logano is fourth in the NASCAR Cup Series playoff standings but only 18 points behind leader Bell, so he should be looking to do more than stay in the hunt and charge for the top on Sunday. Find out which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a huge shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the Vegas favorites at 15-2, stumbles badly and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values ​​in the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race starter lineup. The 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion has won four races this year to lead all drivers, but is currently seventh in the 2022 NASCAR standings after a disappointing pair of races to start the playoffs.

Elliott finished 36th with a DVP at Darlington, then finished 11th last week at Kansas. He has never won in 11 career Cup starts on the asphalt at Bristol Motor Speedway and has finished outside the top 20 in two of his last three starts at the iconic track. Check out other favorites to avoid here.

How to Make NASCAR Bristol 2022 Picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with a 2022 NASCAR odds at Bristol of 10-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the Bass Pro Shops Night Race 2022? And which longshots make a checkered flag race? Check out the latest Bristol Night Race odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projection of the 2022 NASCAR Bristol standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

Bristol Night Race 2022 odds, field

See all NASCAR Bristol picks, best bets and predictions here

Denny Hamlin 11-2
Kyle Larson 13-2
Chase Elliott 15-2
Christopher Bell 8-1
Kyle Busch 8-1
Kevin Harvick 17-2
Tyler Red Dick 10-1
Ross Chestnut 14-1
Joey Logan 14-1
Ryan Blaney 14-1
Martin Truex Jr. 15-1
William Byron 15-1
Bubba Wallace 17-1
Alex Bowman 28-1
Ty Gibbs 40-1
Daniel Suarez 40-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Austin Cindric 60-1
Aric Almirola 75-1
Ricky Stenhouse 100-1
Brad Keselowski 100-1
Chris Buescher 125-1
AJ Allmendinger 125-1
Michael McDowell 200-1
Cole Custer 300-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Ty Dillon 750-1
Harrison Burton 1000-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Todd Gilliland 2500-1
JJ Yeley 2500-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Jos Bilicki 5000-1

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