2022 NASCAR playoffs in Las Vegas odds, picks, predictions: Model fades Tyler Reddick at South Point 400

The 2022 NASCAR Playoffs continue on Sunday with the 2022 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway starting Round 8. Four drivers were eliminated from the championship after last week‘s race at the Charlotte Roval, including defending champion the NASCAR Cup Series Kyle Larson. After winning 10 times in 2021, Larson has only won two this season with NASCAR’s next-gen car creating more parity in the sport and making it harder for top teams like Hendrick Motorsports to dominate.

However, that hasn’t stopped Chase Elliott from winning five times this year. The current leader of the 2022 NASCAR standings is listed at 10-1 in Caesars Sportsbook’s 2022 South Point 400 odds. Denny Hamlin is currently seventh in the standings, but the defending South Point 400 champion is listed as NASCAR’s 11-2 favorite in Las Vegas. Before running through the 2022 South Point 400 starting lineup and making NASCAR Las Vegas 2022 predictions, be sure to see NASCAR’s latest Las Vegas picks from SportsLine’s proven screening template.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure’s model nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 victory. Then he called Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix for winning the 2021 NASCAR Cup championship. In total, he had five of Larson’s wins in a historic season.

So far in 2022, it was important for Ross Chastain to win in Austin, which gave him a much better chance of winning than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before winning as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and again on Logano when he came back 14-1 in their win at St. Louis. In early August it was much higher on Kevin Harvick than its 17-1 odds implied and Harvick took the win at Michigan, then last week it was high on Tyler Reddick before winning at Texas for a payment of 12-1. Anyone who followed his lead on these games saw huge returns.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR race in Las Vegas 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 South Point 400 standings..

Best NASCAR 2022 predictions in Las Vegas

For the 2022 South Point 400, the model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he is a 10-1 longshot in the final 2022 NASCAR in Las Vegas. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. After earning a win in each of the past five seasons, Blaney remains winless in 2022, but his seven stage wins are tied with Martin Truex Jr. for the most in NASCAR this year.

Blaney was technically eliminated from the playoffs due to his lack of a win, but returned in the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs because Kurt Busch was not cleared to compete. Blaney has now made his way into the knockout stages for the third time in his career. Blaney is currently fifth in the 2022 NASCAR standings and three points behind Christopher Bell for a top-four berth that would qualify him for the Finals in Phoenix. He’s finished in the top 10 in eight of his 12 career starts in Las Vegas and is a solid bet to fight his way to the front on Sunday. Find out which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a huge shocker: Reddick, one of the Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values ​​in the 2022 South Point 400 starting lineup. Reddick has gone from upstart to one of NASCAR’s brightest young stars with three wins this season, but the inconsistency has plagued the player from 26 years.

He finished outside the top 20 14 times in his first 32 starts and was eliminated after the first round of the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs due to a 35th-place finish at Kansas and a 25th-place finish at Bristol. Reddick has never been in the top five in five career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Check out other favorites to avoid here.

How to Make NASCAR Las Vegas 2022 Picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR Las Vegas odds of 10-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the South Point 400 2022? And which longshots make a checkered flag race? Check out the latest NASCAR odds in Las Vegas below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected NASCAR Las Vegas 2022 standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 South Point 400 odds, field

See all NASCAR Las Vegas picks, best bets and predictions here

Denny Hamlin 11-2
Tyler Red Dick 13-2
Kyle Larson 7-1
Christopher Bell 8-1
Kyle Busch 9-1
Ross Chestnut 19-2
Martin Truex Jr. 19-2
Chase Elliot 10-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
William Byron 12-1
Bubba Wallace 12-1
Joey Logan 15-1
Kevin Harvick 25-1
Daniel Suarez 40-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Noah Gragson 60-1
Austin Cindric 60-1
Ty Gibbs 60-1
Erik Jones 75-1
Brad Keselowski 75-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
AJ Allmendinger 100-1
Aric Almirola 200-1
Ricky Stenhouse 250-1
Michael McDowell 500-1
Harrison Burton 500-1
Cole Custer 500-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Ty Dillon 1000-1
Todd Gilland 2000-1
Corey Lajoie 2000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Landon Cassill 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1

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