NASCAR 2022 at Pocono odds, start time, surprising picks, race predictions: Pattern fades Chase Elliott

With three relatively flat corners and three extremely long straights, Pocono Raceway is a test like no other on the NASCAR schedule. As the regular season draws to a close, the NASCAR Cup Series returns to “The Tricky Triangle” on Sunday. The 2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 is the only NASCAR race at Pocono of the season for the first time since 1981. The NASCAR green flag at Pocono Raceway drops at 3 p.m. ET Sunday in the United States (stream now on FuboTV).

Joe Gibbs Racing has won seven of the last nine NASCAR Cup Series races at Pocono and Kyle Busch is the 6-1 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s 2022 Pocono NASCAR odds. Denny Hamlin is right behind him at 13-2 while Martin Truex Jr. is 10-1 and Christopher Bell is 17-1 in the 2022 NASCAR at Pocono. Before you run through the 2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 starting lineup and make 2022 NASCAR Pocono predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR picks at Pocono from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix for win the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship.

In total, he has won five of Larson’s wins in a historic season and also went 15-9 on his head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 season. Earlier this season, he was important for Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a much better chance of winning than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before winning as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and again on him when he came back 14-1 for their win at St. Louis. Anyone who followed his lead on those games saw huge returns on their NASCAR picks.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR race at Pocono 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the full predicted 2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 rankings.

Best NASCAR 2022 predictions at Pocono

One surprise: The model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he’s a 12-1 long shot in the final 2022 NASCAR at Pocono. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. Blaney is winless this season, but enters Sunday’s race third in the NASCAR standings. That would get him into the NASCAR Playoffs, but with 14 different winners this season, the margins are shrinking.

However, Blaney should be confident returning to Pocono Raceway, where he won the 2017 Pocono 400. The 28-year-old has finished 12th or better in 10 of his 12 career starts at Pocono and has also won there in NASCAR Camping. . Truck World Series. He’s finished sixth or better in four of his last six races and has led laps in 16 of his 20 starts so far this season. Find out which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a huge shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the Vegas favorites at 15-2, stumbles big and barely makes the top 10. There are much better values ​​in the fan appreciation starting grid M&M’s 2022. The 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion holds a comfortable 67-point lead atop the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series standings and has finished first or second in the last four races of the season.

However, while Pocono Raceway is regularly compared to a road course due to its huge emphasis on braking, Elliott hasn’t fared as well there as he has at the road courses of his career. He’s winless in 12 career starts at “The Tricky Triangle” and has finished outside the top 10 in four of his last five starts there. That includes a 27th-place finish in the most recent race and two more 25th or worse. Check out other favorites to avoid here.

How to Make 2022 NASCAR Picks at Pocono

The model is also targeting another driver with NASCAR 2022 at Pocono odds of 12-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 2022? And what long shot makes a race at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR odds at Pocono below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full ranking of 400 M&M’s 2022 fan reviews, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 odds, field

See all NASCAR Pocono picks, best bets and predictions here

Kyle Busch 6-1
Denny Hamlin 13-2
Kyle Larson 7-1
Chase Elliott 15-2
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
Kevin Harvick 10-1
William Byron 10-1
Ross Chestnut 10-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
Joey Logan 15-1
Alex Bowman 15-1
Christopher Bell 17-1
Kurt Busch 20-1
Tyler Red Dick 25-1
Daniel Suarez 28-1
Briscoe Hunt 28-1
Bubba Wallace 30-1
Aric Almirola 50-1
Austin Cindric 50-1
Brad Keselowski 50-1
Erik Jones 75-1
Ricky Stenhouse 75-1
Chris Buescher 75-1
Austin Dillon 100-1
Noah Gragson 300-1
Cole Custer 300-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Michael McDowell 500-1
Harrison Burton 750-1
Ty Dillon 1000-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Todd Gilliland 2500-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1

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