NASCAR 2022 at Richmond odds, picks, predictions: The pattern fades Christopher Bell in Federated Auto Parts 400

With just three races remaining in the NASCAR regular season, 2017 NASCAR Cup Series champion Martin Truex Jr. is feeling the pressure as he heads to Richmond Raceway for the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 on Sunday. Truex sits fourth in the NASCAR standings, but since there have already been 15 different winners, he would be kicked out of the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs if they started today. Ryan Blaney has a 19-point cushion over Truex as the only driver who would qualify on points, but the drama will be high for Blaney, Truex and anyone without a win. The 2022 NASCAR green flag in Richmond drops at 3 p.m. ET Sunday.

Truex is a 31-time NASCAR Cup Series winner, and three of those victories have come at Richmond. He is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 odds. Joe Gibbs Racing teammates Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch and Christopher Bell are next in the 2022 NASCAR at Richmond, with all three drivers listed at 7-1. Before you run through the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 starting lineup and make 2022 NASCAR Richmond predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR picks at Richmond from SportsLine’s proven throwing model.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure’s model nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 victory. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix for winning the 2021 NASCAR Cup championship. In total, he had five of Larson’s wins in a historic season.

So far in 2022, it was important for Ross Chastain to win in Austin, which gave him a much better chance of winning than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before winning as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and again on Logano when he came back 14-1 in their win at St. Louis. Last week he was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick took the win at Michigan. Anyone who followed his lead on these games saw huge returns.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR race at Richmond 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected Federated Auto Parts 400 2022 standings..

Best 2022 NASCAR Predictions in Richmond

One surprise: The model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s a 15-1 long shot in the final 2022 NASCAR at Richmond. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. Logano will enter Sunday’s race sixth in the 2022 NASCAR standings, but he has already secured a spot in the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs with wins at Darlington and Gateway.

However, the 2018 NASCAR Cup Series champion would still like to build momentum heading into the playoffs and he has an impressive record in Richmond. Logano is a two-time winner on the three-quarter-mile D-shaped oval and has been in the top 10 in 15 of his 26 career Cup starts. Find out which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a huge shocker: Christopher Bell, a 7-1 Vegas favorite, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values ​​in the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 starting lineup.

Bell is seventh in the standings and has all but sewn a spot in this year’s NASCAR playoff picture with a win at New Hampshire. He led 63 laps at Richmond in the spring, but eventually finished sixth. He’s also finished outside the top 10 in each of his last two starts and with Joe Gibbs Racing likely hoping to push Truex up front to secure his playoff bid, Bell looks overpriced as a second favorite. Check out other favorites to avoid here.

How to Make 2022 NASCAR Picks in Richmond

The model is also targeting two other drivers with a 2022 NASCAR odds at Richmond of 14-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400? And what long shots make a race at the checkered flag? Check out the latest NASCAR 2022 odds at Richmond below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full 2022 NASCAR projected to the Richmond standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 odds, field

See all NASCAR Michigan picks, best bets and predictions here

Martin Truex Jr. 11-2
Denny Hamlin 7-1
Christopher Bell 7-1
Kyle Busch 7-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
Kyle Larson 10-1
Chase Elliot 10-1
Ross Chestnut 14-1
Kevin Harvick 15-1
Bubba Wallace 15-1
William Byron 15-1
Joey Logan 15-1
Tyler Red Dick 17-1
Alex Bowman 22-1
Briscoe chase 25-1
Ty Gibbs 30-1
Daniel Suarez 30-1
Aric Almirola 40-1
Austin Dillon 50-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Austin Cindric 75-1
Brad Keselowski 75-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
Cole Custer 250-1
Noah Gragson 300-1
Ricky Stenhouse 300-1
Harrison Burton 500-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Ty Dillon 1000-1
Michael McDowell 1000-1
Todd Gilland 2000-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Landon Cassill 2500-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1

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