NASCAR Phoenix 2022 odds, predictions: Surprising Ruoff Mortgage 500 picks by model that landed Larson wins

We are three races away from the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series schedule and defending champion Kyle Larson is already back at the top of the NASCAR standings. Larson has a win and a second place in the last two races. Now he’s heading to Phoenix Raceway, where he won the title a year ago, for the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500. The race is scheduled for 312 laps around the one-mile oval and the green flag is expected to drop. at 3:30 p.m. And the Sunday.

Larson is the 9-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 odds, but he’s far from the only driver in the 2022 NASCAR Phoenix field to find success on the track. Denny Hamlin is a two-time winner there and 13-2 in NASCAR at Phoenix, while Joey Logano, another two-time winner, is 8-1. Before you run through the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 starting lineup and make any NASCAR 2022 Phoenix predictions, be sure to see the latest Ruoff Mortgage 500 2022 picks from SportsLine’s proven throwing model.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race 5-2 in Texas and knocked Larson out again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout.

He also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to win the championship. of the NASCAR Cup. In total, he called five of Larson’s wins in a historic season and made all seven of his head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 NASCAR season. Anyone who’s followed his lead on those games has seen d huge feedback on his NASCAR Picks.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR Phoenix race 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected ranking of the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500.

Top 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 Predictions

One surprise: The model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he’s a 17-1 long shot in the final 2022 NASCAR at Phoenix. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. The 46-year-old has won a staggering 58 races in the NASCAR Cup Series and was also the 2014 NASCAR champion, but is coming off his first winless season since 2009.

However, you can never count Harvick at Phoenix Raceway, where he has a record nine wins. It’s been nine years since he finished outside the top 10 at a race in Phoenix. Even though he struggles to qualify for the title in an evolving sport, he is sensational value at 17-1 for Sunday.

And a huge shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, stumbles badly and barely makes the top five. There are far better values ​​in this 2022 NASCAR starting grid open in Phoenix. The 26-year-old has already made the playoffs six times in his career with 13 wins and a championship, but more than half of those wins have come on road courses.

The traditional ovals were a challenge for Elliott. He won his championship at Phoenix in 2020, but that’s the only time he’s finished better than fifth in his last seven starts there. This season he has finished no higher than ninth and has only led one race.

How to Make NASCAR Phoenix 2022 Picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with a 2022 NASCAR Phoenix rating of 15-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500? And what long shots make a race at the checkered flag? Check out the latest NASCAR 2022 odds at Phoenix below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full predicted 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 odds

Kyle Larson 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 6-1
Denny Hamlin 13-2
Chase Elliott 7-1
Kyle Busch 15-2
Joey Logano 8-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
William Byron 15-1
Kevin Harvick 17-1
Alex Bowman 17-1
Christopher Bell 18-1
Brad Keselowski 25-1
Tyler Red Dick 25-1
Aric Almirola 25-1
Austin Cindric 40-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Ross Chestnut 50-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Cole Custer 100-1
Daniel Suarez 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Chase Briscoe 100-1
Bubba Wallace 150-1
AJ Allmendinger 200-1
Justin Haley 250-1
Harrison Burton 300-1
Chris Buescher 300-1
Ty Dillon 500-1
Michael McDowell 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 1000-1
Corey Lajoie 1000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1

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