Odds, 2022 Daytona 500 predictions: Surprising NASCAR picks by the same model that took Kyle Larson’s wins

The new NASCAR Cup Series schedule kicks off Sunday at 2:30 p.m. ET with the 2022 Daytona 500. The green flag will begin a streak of 37 races in 38 weeks for NASCAR’s top tier. Denny Hamlin has won three of his last six Daytona 500 starts, and he’s the 9-1 favorite in the latest 2022 Daytona 500 odds at Caesars Sportsbook. He can tie Cale Yarborough for the second most Daytona 500 wins in history with a win on Sunday.

Defending 2021 Cup Series champion Kyle Larson is tied with Chase Elliott for second-shortest 2022 NASCAR at Daytona odds (10-1). Should you back one of the Sunday favorites in the 2022 Daytona 500? Before you run through the 2022 Daytona 500 starting lineup and make any NASCAR 2022 Daytona predictions, be sure to check out the latest 2022 Daytona 500 picks from SportsLine’s proven throw model.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race 5-2 in Texas and knocked Larson out again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout.

He also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to win the championship. of the NASCAR Cup. In total, he called five of Larson’s wins in a historic season. Anyone who followed his example on these games saw huge returns on his NASCAR Picks.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 Daytona 500 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 Daytona 500 standings..

Best 2022 Daytona 500 Predictions

One surprise: The model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he’s a 16-1 long shot in the last NASCAR at Daytona. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. There is perhaps no more motivated driver this week than Busch, who has not won a single day in 16 Daytona 500 starts. He has been able to pull off just about every other feat in the sport, including including a win at the July race at Daytona in 2008. Busch has 59 Cup Series wins, including eight at Bristol.

His past failures at the Daytona 500 enhanced his award this week. Busch’s older brother Kurt needed 16 tries to win his first Daytona 500. The SportsLine model thinks that could be in the cards for the younger Busch on Sunday.

And a huge shocker: Hamlin, Vegas’ top favorite at 9-1, stumbles wildly and barely cracks the top five. Hamlin finished third in last year’s Cup Series, but that was due to a strong start to the season as he faltered in the streak. After getting nine top five finishes in his first 12 races, he only had 10 top five finishes in his next 24 races.

While Hamlin is a three-time Daytona 500 winner (2016, 2019, 2020), he hasn’t completely dominated the track as you might expect from someone with three wins there. Those were his only three wins at the track in 32 career Cup Series appearances and he finished a disappointing 13th in his last outing at Daytona. Given its low ratings, there are much better values ​​in this open field of the 2022 Daytona 500.

How to Make 2022 NASCAR Picks at Daytona

The model is also targeting four other drivers with a 2022 NASCAR Daytona rating of 14-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Daytona 500? And what long shots do you need to support? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR odds at Daytona below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full predicted 2022 Daytona 500 standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Daytona 500 Odds

Denny Hamlin 9-1
Chase Elliot 10-1
Kyle Larson 10-1
Joey Logan 11-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
Brad Keselowski 14-1
William Byron 15-1
Bubba Wallace 16-1
Kyle Busch 16-1
Kurt Busch 17-1
Alex Bowman 18-1
Kevin Harvick 20-1
Martin Truex Jr. 22-1
Aric Almirola 22-1
Tyler Red Dick 25-1
Austin Dillon 25-1
Christopher Bell 28-1
Austin Cindric 30-1
Chris Buescher 30-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 33-1
Ross Chestnut 40-1
Michael McDowell 40-1
Justin Haley 40-1
Daniel Hemric 50-1
Chase Briscoe 50-1
Daniel Suarez 60-1
Greg Biffle 60-1
Cole Custer 60-1
Erik Jones 75-1
Ty Dillon 75-1
Harrison Burton 75-1
David Ragan 75-1
Corey Lajoie 100-1
Noah Gragson 100-1
Landon Cassil 125-1
Kaz Grala 150-1
Todd Gilliland 200-1
Jacques Villeneuve 1000-1
BJ McLeod 1000-1
Cody Ware 1000-1

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