Odds, predictions for the 2022 Daytona 500: Surprising NASCAR picks of the same model that took Kyle Larson’s wins

Justin Haley’s only NASCAR Cup Series win came in the 2019 Coke Zero Sugar 400, when he battled 33 spots to take the checkered flag. In three career Daytona races, his two best finishes came in the Coke Zero Sugar event, but he also finished 13th in the 2020 Daytona 500. Haley is 50-1 in the 2022 Daytona 500 odds at Caesars Sportsbook , but has two career top 10 finishes on the track. The 2022 Daytona 500 takes place on Sunday, February 20 at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Even though he led just one lap in his three Daytona appearances, could he be a dark horse to deliver a big win this year? Since 2019, Haley has averaged a finishing position of 16.14 across seven races held at superspeedways. Before you run through the 2022 Daytona 500 starting lineup and make any NASCAR 2022 Daytona predictions, be sure to check out the latest 2022 Daytona 500 picks from SportsLine’s proven throw model.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race 5-2 in Texas and knocked Larson out again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout.

He also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to win the championship. of the NASCAR Cup. In total, he called five of Larson’s wins in a historic season. Anyone who followed his example on these games saw huge returns on his NASCAR Picks.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 Daytona 500 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 Daytona 500 standings..

Best 2022 Daytona 500 Predictions

One surprise: The model is high on Alex Bowman, even though he’s a long shot of 18-1 in the last NASCAR at Daytona. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. At the 2021 Coke Zero 400 held last August, Bowman finished seventh after starting 30th. It was part of a run in his last 12 races in which he finished 12th or better to close the season.

In his six races at Daytona since 2019, his average starting position has been 6.2 and he started on pole position in the 2018 Daytona 500. Betting on Bowman before qualifying begins may be wise given his success leading the pack. Should he start in the top 10 again, his NASCAR ratings would certainly drop, giving him early value ahead of this year’s Great American Race.

And a huge shocker: Hamlin, Vegas’ top favorite at 17-2, stumbles wildly and barely cracks the top five. Hamlin finished third in last year’s Cup Series, but that was due to a strong start to the season as he faltered in the streak. After getting nine top five finishes in his first 12 races, he only had 10 top five finishes in his next 24 races.

While Hamlin is a three-time Daytona 500 winner (2016, 2019, 2020), he hasn’t completely dominated the track as you might expect from someone with three wins there. Those were his only three wins at the track in 32 career Cup Series appearances and he finished a disappointing 13th in his last outing at Daytona. Given its low ratings, there are much better values ​​in this open field of the 2022 Daytona 500.

How to Make 2022 NASCAR Picks at Daytona

The model is also targeting four other drivers with a 2022 NASCAR Daytona rating of 14-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Daytona 500? And what long shots do you need to support? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR odds at Daytona below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2022 Daytona 500 standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Daytona 500 Odds

Denny Hamlin 17-2
Chase Elliot 10-1
Kyle Larson 10-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
Joey Logan 12-1
Will Byron 14-1
Bubba Wallace 15-1
Brad Keselowski 15-1
Kyle Busch 15-1
Kurt Busch 18-1
Kevin Harvick 18-1
Alex Bowman 18-1
Martin Truex Jr. 20-1
Aric Almirola 20-1
Austin Dillon 28-1
Christopher Bell 28-1
Tyler Red Dick 30-1
Austin Cindric 30-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 30-1
AJ Allmendinger 40-1
Ross Chestnut 40-1
Chris Buescher 40-1
Chase Briscoe 50-1
Michael McDowell 50-1
Justin Haley 50-1
Daniel Suarez 60-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Daniel Hemric 60-1
Cole Custer 75-1
Harrison Burton 75-1
Corey Lajoie 100-1
Kaz Grala 100-1
Noah Gragson 100-1
Ty Dillon 100-1
JJ Yeley 100-1
David Ragan 125-1
Todd Gilliland 200-1
Timmy Hill 750-1
Jacques Villeneuve 1000-1
BJ McLeod 1000-1

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